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Research Paper | Statistics | Saudi Arabia | Volume 4 Issue 2, February 2015

Trend of Life Expectancy in Sudan

Dr. Elfarazdag Mahjoub Mohammed Hussein | Dr. Elsiddig Edriss Mohamed

Abstract: The main objective of this paper is to construct a time series model to monitor and forecast the life expectancy at birth in Sudan. To achieve this objective, a series of life expectancy at birth ranged from 1990 to 2013 was obtained from the Sudan Central Bureau of statistics and United Nation Annual Reports, time series analysis technique mainly box and Jenkins were used to find the required model. Analysis done by e-views package. The paper conclude that The most proper time series model to forecast the life expectancy at birth in Sudan is the ARIMA model, The highest forecasted Life Expectancy at Birth in the Sudan for the coming ten years will be attained in year 2023 as 66.4835 years and finally The life expectancy at Birth in Sudan is increasing at a decreasing rate.

Keywords: Life expectancy, life expectancy index, box and Jenkins, auto regressive moving average Sudan

Edition: Volume 4 Issue 2, February 2015,

Pages: 2375 - 2379

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