Examining the Relationship between Quarterly Investment and Government Bond Rates: The Case of Greece

Dr Kalimeris Dimitrios

Abstract: It is extremely likely that the anticipated economic recovery will be delayed, mostly due to a serious lack of investment funding in Greece. Since it is common practice to GDP increase to investments, we see from 2009 onwards a collapse in terms of inward investments, creating an environment for technological hysteresis at least. We try in this paper to find any relation between quarterly investments and government bond rates, as the latter seem to be an alternative image of an economy's health in terms of foreign borrowing. There seems to be a research gap in this area, where government bond rates have not been examined against investment decisions as a way to find an explanatory pattern for the latter. Our findings depict a slight positive one-way relationship, indicating that changes in Greece's government bond rates tend to positively affect quarterly investments. nevertheless, we strongly suggest a new research of the subject after clarifying the effects of the economic crisis, since both of our main variables tend to be affected in qualitative terms.

Keywords: investment, government bond rates, OLS analysis, ARCH effect